Câu hỏi: Which one of the following best describes most series of asset prices?
A. An independently and identically distributed (iid, i.e. “completely random”) process
B. A random walk with drift
C. An explosive process
D. A deterministic trend process
Câu 1: If a series, yt, follows a random walk (with no drift), what is the optimal 1-step ahead forecast for y?
A. The current value of y
B. Zero
C. The historical unweighted average of y
D. An exponentially weighted average of previous values of y
30/08/2021 9 Lượt xem
Câu 2: Consider a series that follows an MA(1) with zero mean and a moving average coefficient of 0.4. What is the value of the autocorrelation function at lag 1?
A. 0.4
B. 0.34
C. 1
D. It is not possible to determine the value of the autocovariances without knowing the disturbance variance
30/08/2021 9 Lượt xem
Câu 3: Which of the following sets of characteristics would usually best describe an autoregressive process of order 3 (i.e. an AR(3))?
A. A slowly decaying acf, and a pacf with 3 significant spikes
B. A slowly decaying pacf and an acf with 3 significant spikes
C. A slowly decaying acf and pacf
D. An acf and a pacf with 3 significant spikes
30/08/2021 10 Lượt xem
Câu 4: What is the optimal three-step ahead forecast from the AR(2) model given in question 14?
A. -0.1
B. 0.27
C. -0.34
D. -0.31
30/08/2021 8 Lượt xem
Câu 5: If a series, yt, follows a random walk (with no drift), what is the optimal 1-step ahead forecast for y?
A. The current value of y
B. Zero
C. The historical unweighted average of y
D. An exponentially weighted average of previous values of y
30/08/2021 8 Lượt xem
Câu 6: If a series, yt, follows a random walk (with no drift), what is the optimal 1-step ahead forecast for y?
A. The current value of y
B. Zero
C. The historical unweighted average of y
D. An exponentially weighted average of previous values of y
30/08/2021 9 Lượt xem

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