Câu hỏi:  Which of the following is NOT a good reason for including lagged variables in a regression?

A. Slow response of the dependent variable to changes in the independent variables

B. Over-reactions of the dependent variables

C. The dependent variable is a centred moving average of the past 4 values of the series

D. The residuals of the model appear to be non-normal

Câu 1: Consider an increase in the size of the test used to examine a hypothesis from 5% to 10%. Which one of the following would be an implication?

A. The probability of a Type I error is increased

B. The probability of a Type II error is increased

C. The rejection criterion has become more strict

D. The null hypothesis will be rejected less often

Câu 2: What result is proved by the Gauss-Markov theorem?

A. That OLS gives unbiased coefficient estimates

B. That OLS gives minimum variance coefficient estimates

C. That OLS gives minimum variance coefficient estimates only among the class of linear unbiased estimators

D. That OLS ensures that the errors are distributed normally

Câu 3: Suppose that we wanted to sum the 2007 returns on ten shares to calculate the return on a portfolio over that year. What method of calculating the individual stock returns would enable us to do this?

A. Simple

B. Continuously compounded

C. Neither approach would allow us to do this validly

D. Either approach could be used and they would both give the same portfolio return

Câu 4: The type I error associated with testing a hypothesis is equal to:

A. One minus the type II error

B. The confidence level

C. The size of the test

D. The size of the sample

Câu 5: Which of the following is a correct interpretation of a “95% confidence interval” for a regression parameter?

A. We are 95% sure that the interval contains the true value of the parameter

B. We are 95% sure that our estimate of the coefficient is correct

C. We are 95% sure that the interval contains our estimate of the coefficient

D. In repeated samples, we would derive the same estimate for the coefficient 95% of the time

Câu 6: Which of the following is NOT correct with regard to the p-value attached to a test statistic?

A. p-values can only be used for two-sided tests

B. It is the marginal significance level where we would be indifferent between rejecting and not rejecting the null hypothesis

C. It is the exact significance level for the test

D. Given the p-value, we can make inferences without referring to statistical tables